Going beyond the ensemble mean: assessment of future floods from global multi‐models

Abstract Future changes in the occurrence of flood events can be estimated using multi‐model ensembles to inform adaption and mitigation strategies. In the near future, these estimates could be used to guide the updating of exceedance probabilities for flood control design and water resources management. However, the estimate of return levels from ensemble experiments represents […]

Going beyond the ensemble mean: assessment of future floods from global multi‐models

Abstract Future changes in the occurrence of flood events can be estimated using multi‐model ensembles to inform adaption and mitigation strategies. In the near future, these estimates could be used to guide the updating of exceedance probabilities for flood control design and water resources management. However, the estimate of return levels from ensemble experiments represents […]

Going beyond the ensemble mean: assessment of future floods from global multi‐models

Abstract Future changes in the occurrence of flood events can be estimated using multi‐model ensembles to inform adaption and mitigation strategies. In the near future, these estimates could be used to guide the updating of exceedance probabilities for flood control design and water resources management. However, the estimate of return levels from ensemble experiments represents […]

Going beyond the ensemble mean: assessment of future floods from global multi‐models

Abstract Future changes in the occurrence of flood events can be estimated using multi‐model ensembles to inform adaption and mitigation strategies. In the near future, these estimates could be used to guide the updating of exceedance probabilities for flood control design and water resources management. However, the estimate of return levels from ensemble experiments represents […]